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30th USAEE North American Conference
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CONCURRENT SESSIONS

Concurrent Sessions: 1-9 | 10-18 | 19-27 | 28-35 | 36-40

CONCURRENT SESSIONS 1-9
MONDAY, OCTOBER 10, 11:00 - 12:30pm

1. OPEC & Crude Oil Market Issues (Presidential Ballroom)

Leonard L. Coburn, Presiding
President
Coburn Int'l Energy Consultants, LLC

The Dominant Role of Saudi Arabia in the Oil Market 1997-2010
Nourah Yousef
King Saud University
View Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Jump Processes in the Market for Crude Oil
Neil A Wilmot
University of Minnesota Duluth
Charles F Mason
University of Wyoming
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Oil Market Volatility: An Econometric Analysis of the Interactions Between the Crude Oil Market, The Gas Oil and The Gasoline Markets
Frederic T Lantz
Emmanuel Hache
IFP School
Christos Ioannidis
University of Bath
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Do OPEC Members Know Something the Market Doesn’t? “Fair Price” Pronouncements and the Market Price of Crude Oil
Bahattin Buyuksahin
International Energy Agency (IEA)
Michel Robe
American University
Celso Brunetti
Johns Hopkins University
Kirsten Soneson
U.S. CFTC
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

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2. Smart Grid Technology & Economics (Federal AB Room)

Fredrick Treyz, Presiding
CEO and Chief Economist
Regional Economic Models Inc

How to Regulate a Market-Driven Rollout of Smart Meters? A Multi-Sided Market Economics Perspective
Jan Schaechtele
Jens Uhlenbrock
EBS Universität für Wirtschaft und Recht i.Gr.
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

The Smart Grid Business Case
John Caldwell
Director of Economics, Edison Electric Institute
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

A Multiregional Macroeconomic Framework for Analyzing Energy Policies
Treyz Frederick
Zilin Cui
Scott M Nystrom
Regional Economic Models, Inc.
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

How U.S. Government Investment in Smart Grid Technologies Compares to the Estimated Spending Needed for a Nationwide Grid
Melissa Chan
David Feliciano
Thomas Murray
Daniel Handal
Navigant
Joseph Paladino
U.S. Department of Energy
View Extended Abstract

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3. Alternative Energy Investment and Evaluation (South American A Room)

Nikolay Filchev, Presiding
SAIS
Johns Hopkins University

Shale Gas and New Petrochemicals Investment
Thomas K Swift
Martha G Moore
American Chemistry Council
View Extended Abstract

Economic Feasibility and Investment Decisions of Coal and Biomass to Liquids
Oleg A Kucher
Jerald J Fletcher
West Virginia University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Determining Probabilistic Estimates of Net Present Value for U.S. Offshore Wind Projects
Constance McDaniel Wyman
Christopher Jablonowski
The University of Texas at Austin
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

Investment in Alternative Energy Resources for Fuel Production: Towards a "Green" or "Black" Resource Emergence?
Déborah Bouchonneau
Elodie Le Cadre
French Institute of Petroleum
View Extended Abstract

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4. World Natural Gas Market: Issues & Trends (South American B Room)

Robert E. Borgstrom, Presiding
Regulatory Advisor

Analyzing the Effects of CO2e Pricing and U.S. Shale Gas Availability on Global Natural Gas Market
Hakob G Avetisyan
Steven A Gabriel
Sauleh Siddiqui
Seksun Moryadee
University of Maryland
View Extended Abstract

An Imperfectly Competitive Model of the World Natural Gas Market
Burcu Cigerli
Student, Rice University
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Gazprom into European Final Markets
Rafael Fernandez
Applied Economics Department, Complutense University of Madrid
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

Natural Gas Pricing: International Experience and Policy Options for Nigeria
Olusegun A Omisakin
Student, University of Ibadan, Nigeria
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

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5. Dennis J. O'Brien USAEE Best Student Paper Award Competition
    Supported by: Southern Company
    
(California Room)

Charles Rossmann, Presiding
Forecasting & Model Development Manager
Southern Company

The Political Economy of Electricity Market Liberalization: A Cross-Country Approach
Erkan Erdogdu
Judge Business School, University of Cambridge
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Evaluating Ecosystem And Wind-following Services For Hydroelectric Dams In PJM
Alisha R Fernandez
Patrick Reed
Seth Blumsack
The Pennsylvania State University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

The Decision to Scrap a Wind Turbine: Opportunity Cost, Timing and Policy
Johannes Mauritzen
Norwegian School of Economics (NHH)
View Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Zonal Supply Curve Estimation With Fuzzy Marginal Fuel in Electricity Markets
Mostafa Sahraei-Ardakani
Andrew Kleit
Seth A Blumsack
Penn State University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

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6. Comparative Electricity Market Analysis (Statler A Room)

Adonis Yatchew, Presiding
Professor, Department of Economics
University of Toronto

Did Residential Rates Fall After Retail Competition? A Dynamic Panel Analysis
Adam Swadley
Mine Yucel
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
View Abstract

Productivity Growth in Electric Energy Commercialization in Colombia. A Bootstrap Approach
Rodrigo Taborda
Julieth Santamaria
Universidad del Rosario
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

The Merit Order Effect of Wind Generation in the Irish Electricity Market
Amy O'Mahoney
Eleanor Denny
Trinity College Dublin
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

Integration and Convergence in European Electricity Markets
Davide Ciferri
Cassa Depositi e Prestiti S.p.A
Paolo Polinori
Carlo Andrea Bollino
University of Perugia
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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7. Renewable Energy Policy Evaluation (Statler B Room)

Kim Coffman, Presiding
Economist
U.S. Bureau of Ocean Energy Management

How Effective is U.S. Technology Policy on Clean Energy?
Julia Frayer
Yifei Zhang
London Economics International LLC
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Are Government Policies Effective in Promoting Deployment of Renewable Electricity Resources?
Gireesh Shrimali
Climate Policy Initiative
Joshua Kneifel
NIST
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Analysis of U.S. Renewable Fuels Policies Using Modified Markal and Gtap-Bio Models
Kemal Sarica
Wallace E. Tyner
Purdue University
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

The Impact of State-Level Convenience and Monetary Incentives for Hybrid Electric Vehicles on Demand
Alison C Riggieri
IDA Science and Technology Policy Institute
View Extended Abstract

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8. Environmental Policies and Impacts (Massachusetts Room)

Parviz M. Adib, Presiding
Principal
Pionergy

Climate Effects of Carbon Taxes,Taking into Account Possible Other Future Climate Measures
Florian Habermacher
Gebhard Kirchgässner
SIAW-HSG (University of St. Gallen)
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

A More Diversified U.S. Climate Policy than Just Carbon Dioxide Reduction
James L Plummer
QED Research
View Abstract | View Paper

Carbon Emissions and Economic Growth: A Cost Function Approach
Jihyo Kim
Eunnyeong Heo
Seoul National University
View Abstract

Agent-Based Modelling of the Linked Energy, Economic, and Cimate System for Scenario Generation and Robust Decision-Making
Peng Wang
Richard B Howarth
Michael D Gerst
Mark E Borsuk
Dartmouth College
Giovanni Dosi
Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies
Andrea Roventini
University of Verona
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

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9. Macroeconomic Impact of Energy & Oil Prices (New York Room)

Felipe Dias, Presiding
Economist
Instituto Brasileiro de Petroleo-IBP

Energy and Human Development: Panel Co-integration and Causality Testing of the Energy, Electricity and Human Development Index (HDI) Relationship
Ouedraogo Nadia
Universite Paris-Dauphine
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Oil Price Fluctuations and Macroeconomic Performances in Asian and Oceanic Economies
Youngho Chang
Kamika Jha
Katrina Fernandez
Fatein Jam'an
Nanyang Technological University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Oil and the Macroeconomy of Kazakhstan
Ferhat Bilgin
Fred Joutz
The George Washington University
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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CONCURRENT SESSIONS 10-18
MONDAY, OCTOBER 10, 4:30 - 6:00pm

10. Energy Security Risk Assessment (Presidential Ballroom)

Lars Bergman, Presiding
President & Professor
Stockholm School of Economics

International Indexes for Energy Security Risk
Daniel E Klein
Christopher D Russell
Twenty-First Strategies, LLC
Stephen D Eule
Institute for 21st Century Energy
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Geopolitical Aspects of Energy Security Risk
Guy Caruso
Center for Strategic & International Studies
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Index of U.S. Energy Security Risk: 2011 Edition
Stephen D Eule
Institute for 21st Century Energy
Daniel E Klein
Twenty-First Strategies, LLC
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Modeling Energy Security and Economic Sustainability Issues of the U.S. Biofuel Industry
Rocio Uria-Martinez
Gbadebo Oladosu
Paul N Leiby
Oak Ridge National Laboratory
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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11. Energy & Petroleum Pricing Volatility (Federal AB Room)

Ronald Planting, Presiding
Economist
IPAA

Energy Commodities Price Dynamics:Understanding Oil Price Volatility
Rita L D'Ecclesia
Professor, Sapienza University of Rome Italy
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Neural Networks to Model Energy Commodity Price Dynamics
Massimo Panella
Francesco Barcellona
Valentina Santucci
Rita L D'Ecclesia
Sapienza, University of Rome
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Speculative Bubbles in Oil Prices - Evidence and Implications
Marc Gronwald
ifo Institute for Economic Research
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Measuring Long-Run Demand Elasticities for Petroleum Products in OPEC
Carol A Dahl
Colorado School of Mines and King Saud University
Afaf A Abaalkhail
King Saud University
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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12. Energy Market Risk and Uncertainty Management (South American A Room)

Omowumi O Iledare, Presiding
Professor & Director
LSU Center for Energy Studies

Measuring Uncertainties in Energy Regulation caused by Governmental Regulation: The Role of Information Theory
Silvia Serrano
Research Group on International Political Economy & Energy, UNED (Spanish Open University)
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

Risk Management in the Energy Markets and Value-at-Risk Modelling: a Hybrid Approach
Kostas Andriosopoulos
ESCP Europe
Nikos Nomikos
Cass Business School
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

Risk Management and Efficient Contract Structures for the CCS-EOR Value Chain
Anna Agarwal
John Parsons
Masachusetts Institute of Technology
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Economies of Scale and Scope in Energy Utility Mergers
William J Kemp
Vice President, Pathfinder Strategic Services, Black & Veatch Management Consulting
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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13. Smart Grid Application and Impact on Consumer Behavior (South American B Room)

Kevin Forbes, Presiding
Associate Professor
Catholic University of America

Equity and Efficiency in Residential Dynamic Electricity Pricing
Shira R Horowitz
Student, Carnegie Mellon University
View Abstract

The Promise of the Smart Grid for the Electricity Sector
Fereidoon P Sioshansi
Menlo Energy Economics
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Shifting Electricity Demand with Smart Home Technologies
Alexandra-Gwyn Paetz
Birger Becker
Wolf Fichtner
Hartmut Schmeck
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT)
View Abstract | View Paper

Negative Wholesale Power Prices: Why They Occur and What to Do about Them
Maria Woodman
Student - Economics Department, New York University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

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14. Renewable Portfolio Standards & Programs (California Room)

Karl J Nalepa, Presiding
President & Managing Director
ReSolved Energy Consulting

Changing the Energy Portfolio? An Empirical Evaluation of the Renewable Portfolio Standard
Deborah Baker Brannan
Student, University of Colorado Boulder
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

The Economic Efficiency of Renewable Portfolio Standards in the Presence of Cap-and-Trade
Kenneth T Gillingham
Stanford University/Yale University
Arthur van Benthem
Stanford University
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

A Continental Renewable Portfolio Standard: A Better Way?
Mitchell Rothman
Managing Consultant, Power Advisory LLC
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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15. Public & Legal Concerns on Carbon Capture and Sequestration (Statler A Room)

Thomas E Drennen, Presiding
Senior Economist
Sandia National Labs

The Role of CCS in Meeting a CES
Christopher J Nichols
Peter Balash
DOE/NETL
Nadeja Victor
IBM
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Public Perceptions of Carbon Capture and Storage: Survey Evidence from Indiana
David C Warren
Sanya Carley
John D Graham
Indiana University School of Public and Environmental Affairs
John Rupp
Indiana Geological Survey
Rachel M Krause
University of Texas-El Paso
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Carbon Capture and Storage Regulation as a Climate Change Mitigation Strategy: Legal Issues on Liability
Viviane Romeiro
Virginia Parente
University of Sao Paulo
View Extended Abstract

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16. Modeling the Impact of Energy Options on the Economy (Statler B Room)

Mine K Yucel, Presiding
Vice President & Sr. Economist
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

Is China’s Productivity Growth a Mixed Blessing in Curbing Energy Intensity?
Baiding Hu
Lincoln University
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Performance Evaluation of New and Renewable Energy Program for Home Use
Gahyeong Hur
National Assembly Budget Office
Sunyoung Jung
The Bank of Korea
View Extended Abstract

Sustainable Growth with Renewable and Fossil Fuels Energy Sources
Carlo Andrea Bollino
Silvia Micheli
University of Perugia
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Impacts of Wealth Distribution on Energy Consuption in Nigeria: A Case of Selected Households in Gombe State
Maryam Bello
Gombe State University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

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17. Regional Environmental Impact Assessment (Massachusetts Room)

Arnold B Baker, Presiding
Chief Economist
Sandia National Laboratories

State-Level Energy Consumption, Carbon Dioxide Emissions, and Economic Growth
Wesley Burnett
West Virginia University
Jeffrey H Dorfman
John C Bergstrom
University of Georgia
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

A Research on Predicting Amount of Energy Consumption and Carbon Emissions of the Urban and Rural Population in China
Hong Mi
Wei Zhou
Zhejiang University
Pengyuan Ma
Xiamen University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

Development and Evaluation of Feebate Policies for California’s Effort to Limit Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Light-Duty Vehicles
David S Bunch
University of California-Davis
Changzheng Liu
David L Greene
Oak Ridge National Laboratories
Tim Lipman
University of California-Berkeley
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

The Impacts of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Policy Options on the Pennsylvania State Economy
Adam Rose
Noah Dormady
Dan Wei
University of Southern California
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

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18. Economics of Nuclear and Unconventional Energy Resources (New York Room)

Jurgis Vilemas, Presiding
Chairman of the Council
Lithuanian Energy Institute

Analysis of Shale Gas Impact on International Energy Market to 2050 Employing a Regionally-Disaggregted World Energy Model
Ryoichi Komiyama
Yasumasa Fujii
The University of Tokyo
Koji Yoshizaki
Takeshi Nishimura
Michinobu Furukawa
Tokyo Gas Co., Ltd.
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

On the Economics of Nuclear Between Promises and Fullfilments
Reinhard J Haas
TU Vienna
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Electricity Market Restructuring and Investment in Nuclear Power Generation: Evidence from Power Uprates in U.S. Nuclear Industry
Chen-Hao Tsai
Student, Pennsylvania State University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

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CONCURRENT SESSIONS 19-27
TUESDAY, OCTOBER 11, 8:30 - 10:00am

19. The Oil Sector and Government Policy (Presidential Ballroom)

Shree Vikas, Presiding
Director, Market Intelligence & Strategy
ConocoPhillips, Inc.

Analysis of Azerbaijan Oil and Gas Sector
Shahriyar Nasirov
Orkestra, Instituto Vasco de Competitividad
Aitor Ciarreta
Universidad del Pais Vasco
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Changes in the Operational Efficiency of National Oil Companies
Peter R Hartley
Kenneth B Medlock
Rice University
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

The Economics of the South Stream Pipeline in the Context of Russo-Ukrainian Gas Bargaining
Chi-Kong Chyong
Student, University of Cambridge
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

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20. Economics of Wind Energy & Power Production (Federal AB Room)

Jean-Thomas Bernard, Presiding
Professor
University of Ottawa

On the Quantity, Quality and Meaning of Wind Capacity
Xiaoyue Jiang
Ekundayo Shittu
Geoffrey G Parker
Tulane University
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Economic Costs of Wind Integration in Heavily Thermally Dependent Grids
Amy N Sopinka
Student, University of Victoria
View Extended Abstract

Wind Energy, the Price of Carbon, and Carbon Emissions: The Case of Ireland
Kevin F Forbes
Catholic University
View Extended Abstract

Stochastic Modeling of Wind Power Production
Dmitry Kurochkin
Anjali Sheffrin
Tulane Energy Institute
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

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21. Upstream E&P Industry Performance Analysis (South American A Room)

Peter K. Nance, Presiding
Senior Principal
Teknecon Energy Risk Advisors LLC

An Analysis of Risk and Rate of Return to International Oil Companies from Iran's Buy-Back Service Contracts: The Case of Soroosh and Nowrooz
Abbas Ghandi
C Y Cynthia Lin
University of California at Davis
View Extended Abstract

A Comparative Study of Domestic and Foreign E&P Investment Performance of Selected Firms in the United States, 1977-2008
Omowumi O Iledare
Professor/Director, LSU Center for Energy Studies
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Upstream Incidence of E&P Taxes
Timothy Fitzgerald
Montana State University
View Extended Abstract

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22. Energy Modeling for Policy Analysis (South American B Room)

John Holding, Presiding
Independent Practitioner

Modeing Household Energy Consumption and Adoption of Energy-Efficient Technology
Jia Li
Economist, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Global Energy Model – Updating of the GEM-DYN
Sergey P Filippov
Energy Research Institute
Vladislav V Savin
ERIRAS
Oleg V Marchenko
Sergey V Solomin
ISEM SB RAS
Vladislav V Tropanets
RGSU
Mikhail M Beresentsev
RKS
Alexander V Lebedev
RZD
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Canada’s Energy Future 2011: An Overview of Recent National Energy Board Projections
Abha Bhargava
Bryce van Sluys
Matthew Hansen
National Energy Board
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Factoring Emerging Markets Into the Relationship Between Global Liquidity and Commodities
Steven W Landgraf
WPPI Energy and Marquette University
Abdur Chowdhury
Marquette University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

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23. Carbon Emissions: Cap & Trade System Review (California Room)

Akinbolaji Iwayemi, Presiding
Professor
University of Ibadan

Examining the Environmental Impact of European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (EU-ETS) - An Input Output Approach
Usman Ali Lawan
Student, CEPMLP - University of Dundee
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Optimal Investment in Pollution Abatement under a Cap and Trade System
Gizem Keskin
Student, Rice University
View Extended Abstract

National Low Carbon Fuel Standard: Tradable Credits System Design and Cost Savings
Jonathan Rubin
University of Maine
Paul N Leiby
Oak Ridge National Laboratory
View Abstract

Artificial Market Risks in the European Carbon Market and Their Implications
Jens Krause
University of Oxford
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

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24. Emerging Technologies in the Electricity Market (Statler A Room)

Mark Lively, Presiding
Consultant Engineer
Utility Economic Engineers

Energy Storage on the Grid: Informing Future Development
Eric Hittinger
Jay Apt
Jay Whitacre
Carnegie Mellon University
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Understanding the Formation and Influence of Complementary Innovations in Large Energy Technology Systems: The Case of Urban Energy Storage in Ontario’s Electricity System
Jennifer Hiscock
Philip R Walsh
Ryerson University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Hydrogen Fuel Cell Powertrain Levelized Cost of Electricity
Mario Valentino Romeri
Independent Consultant
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

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25. Modeling Forward and Spot Electricity Prices (Statler B Room)

Mina M. Dioun, Presiding
Competitive Market Analysis Manager
Lower Colorado River Authority

Assessing the Impact of Strategic Behavior on Spot Prices in an Electricity Market
Koichiro Tezuka
University of Fukui
Masahiro Ishii
Sophia University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

The Nature of Supply Bidding in Electricity Markets
Alina N Mackenthun
Student, The Pennsylvania State University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

The Relationship Between Spot And Futures Prices: An Empirical Analysis Of Australian Electricity Markets
Rangga Handika
Stefan Trueck
Macquarie University
View Extended Abstract

Electricity Spot Prices: Integration, Congestion and Volatility
Melanie A Houllier
Cass Business School, City University London
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

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26. Economics of Integrating Renewables (Massachusetts Room)

Benjamin Schlesinger, Presiding
President
Benjamin Schlesinger & Assoc. LLC

Minimizing the Integration Costs of Wind Using Curtailment and Electric Vehicle Charging
Allison E Weis
Jeremy Michalek
Paulina Jaramillo
Carnegie Mellon University
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Technical and Cost Impacts of Integrating Renewables: A Case Study for California
Lori S Schell
Empowered Energy
Fabian Mueller
Joshua D Eichman
University of California-Irvine
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Long Term Optimization of BC-Alberta Interconnected Energy System: Hydro-Wind Combined Case Study
Behdad Kiani
Andrew Rowe
Peter Wild
Tom Pedersen
Lawrence Pitt
University of Victoria
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

Distributed Generation Adoption and Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Mark Sanford
Michael Leifman
GE Energy
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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27. Reducing U.S. Greenhouse Emissions in a N-C-T World (New York Room)

Maureen S Lorenzetti, Presiding
Senior Communications Officer
IFC Climate Business Group

Will Fuel Economy Standards for Heavy-Duty Vehicles Be Effective?
Winston Harrington
Alan Krupnick
Resources for the Future
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Modeling a Clean Energy Standard for Electricity: Implications for CO2 Emissions, Electricity Supply and Electricity Prices
Anthony Paul
Matt Woerman
Karen Palmer
Resources for the Future
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Regulating Greenhouse Gases from Coal Power Plants under the Clean Air Act
Joshua Linn
Dallas Burtraw
Resources for the Future
Erin Mastrangelo
University of Maryland
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Fuel Economy and CO2 Emissions Standards, Manufacturer Pricing Strategies, and Feebates
Changzheng Liu
David L. Greene
Oak Ridge National Laboratory
David Bunch
University of California, Davis
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

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CONCURRENT SESSIONS 28-35
TUESDAY, OCTOBER 11, 2:00 - 3:30pm

28. Implications of OPEC & MENA Turmoil on Global Oil Supply (Presidential Ballroom)

Maureen S Crandall, Presiding
Professor of Economics
National Defense University

OPEC & the Looming Oil Crisis
Mamdouh G Salameh
International Oil Economist / World Bank Consultant, Oil Market Consultancy Service - UK / World Bank
View Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Measuring the Effect of Political Instability in Middle East and North Africa on Global Energy Security
Sara Vakhshouri
Independent Energy Consultant
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

OPEC: Oil's Political Economy Conundrum
Christopher C Elsner
International Energy Analyst, U.S. Department of Energy
View Extended Abstract

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29. Energy Demand Models (Federal AB Room)

Alexander A Ruiz, Presiding
Market Intelligence Advisor
Chevron

The Importance of Energy Quality in Energy Intensive Manufacturing: Evidence From Panel Cointegration and Panel FMOLS
Brant Liddle
Senior Research Fellow, CSES, Victoria University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

A Weather Sensitivity Analysis of National Energy Board Demand Projections
Matthew Hansen
Abha Bhargava
National Energy Board
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Modeling Primary Energy Substitution in Asia Pacific
Roberto F Aguilera
Ronald D Ripple
Centre for Research in Energy and Minerals Economics (CREME), Curtin University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Policies to Encourage Building Energy Retrofits: Comparing Subsidies, Loans, and Mandates
Margaret Walls
Senior Fellow & Thomas Klutznick Chair, Resources for the Future
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Energy Efficiency Practice: A Focus on Residential Households
Austin C Otegbulu
Department of Estate Management University of Lagos
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

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30. Gas and Oil Futures Market Analysis (South American A Room)

John Jimison, Presiding
Managing Director
Energy Future Coalition

The Roles of Hedgers and Speculators in the Natural Gas and Crude Oil Markets
Ronald D Ripple
Professor of Energy Economics, Curtin University
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Does “Paper Oil” Matter?
Bahattin Buyuksahin
International Energy Agency
Michel A Robe
American University
View Abstract

Precautionary Demand Shocks in Crude Oil Market and Monetary Policy
Islam Rizvanoghlu
Phd Candidate, Rice University
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

WTI/Brent Price Spread: The Cause and Solution
P Michael A Rodey
Hans Fredrik Hansen
Statoil
View Abstract

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31. Electricity Demand Modeling and Capacity Planning (South American B Room)

Vlad Dorjets, Presiding
Lead Industry Economist
US Department of Energy

Modeling & Forecasting U.S. Electricity Consumption
Mark D Hutson
Fred Joutz
George Washington University
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Choosing to Pay More for Electricity - An Experiment to Test the Level of Residential Consumer Cooperation in Increasing Electricity Price
Pierre-Olivier Pineau
HEC Montreal
Juan Robledo
Jim Engle-Warnick
McGill University & CIRANO
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

The Role of Fuel Type on the Residential Price of Electricity: A Panel Approach to the Energy Policy Act of 2005
Braeton J Smith
Applied Economics Program, Oregon State University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

U.S. Electricity Generation Capacity Planning Under Endogenous Learning-by-Searching Technology Change
Nidhi R Santen
Mort D Webster
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
David Popp
Syracuse University / National Bureau of Economic Research
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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32. Renewable Resources for Energy Production (California Room)

Pablo Mulas, Presiding
Researcher
Instituto de Investigaciones Elect

Rare-Earth Markets and Their Affects on Solar and Wind Power
Daniel J Packey
Associate Professor, Curtin University
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Economics of Fuel Cell Powered Material Handling Equipment in Large Government Warehouses: Lessons Learned
Michael E Canes
Distinguished Fellow, LMI
View Abstract | View Paper

Modeling Geothermal as Low Carbon Sources in Indonesia
Joni Jupesta
Aki Suwa
United Nations University-Institute of Advanced Studies
Agung Wicaksono
Bandung Institute of Technology-School of Business Management
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

The Willingness to Pay for Renewable Energy Sources: The Case of Italy
Paolo Polinori
University of Perugia
Simona Bigerna
Faculty of Economics, UTIU - Rome
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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33. Fuel-Market Modeling Issues (Statler A Room)

Carol A Dahl, Presiding
Professor of Econ & Dir CSM/IFP
Colorado School of Mines

Harnessing the Renewable Generation Potential
Alberto J Lamadrid
Ray D Zimmerman
Tim D Mount
Cornell University
Carlos E Murillo-Sánchez
Universidad Nacional de Colombia
View Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Forecasting Gasoline and Diesel Prices in an Era of Rising Petroleum Prices
Vance V Ginn
Lecturer, Sam Houston State University
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Stockpile Strategy for China's Emergency Oil Reserve: A Dynamic Programming Approach
Bai Yang
Zhou Peng
Zhou Dequn
Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics
Carol A Dahl
Mineral and Energy Economics Program, Colorado School of Mines
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Option Values of Alternative Completion and Production Strategies in Shale Gas Plays
Janie M Chermak
University of New Mexico
James W Crafton
Performance Science Inc.
Robert H Patrick
Rutgers University
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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34. Environmental Policy Impact on Green Technologies (Statler B Room)

Mitchell P Rothman, Presiding
Managing Consultant
Power Advisory LLC

Are Competitive Electricity Markets Green?
R J Briggs
Suman Gautam
Zhen Lei
Pennsylvania State University
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Estimate of the Global Indirect Energy and Emission Effects from Biofuels
Gbadebo A Oladosu
Oak Ridge National Laboratory
View Abstract

Break-Even CO2 Price to Determine Development of Second Generation Biofuels Units
Elodie Le Cadre
Frédéric Lantz
IFP Energies Nouvelles
Pierre-André Jouvet
Climate Economic Chair- EconomiX-CNRS
View Abstract

The Interaction of a GHG Emissions Cap with Energy Technologies and Markets
Donald A Hanson
Deena Patel
David Schmalzer
Argonne National Lab
John J Marano
JJM Consulting
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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35. Economics of Emissions Control Options (Massachusetts Room)

Mary Lashley Barcella, Presiding
Director of Global Gas
IHS CERA

The Links Between Allocation of Quotas and the Market of Electricity
Knut Einar Rosendahl
Statistics Norway
Sverre Kittelsen
Rolf Golomberk
Frisch Centre
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

A Least-Cost Approach to Reduce CO2 Emissions in Passenger Car Transport: This Time Economics Will Kill the Electric Car
Amela Ajanovic
Reinhard Haas
Vienna University of Technology
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Emissions from Coal in High Wind Scenarios
David Luke Oates
Paulina Jaramillo
Carnegie Mellon University
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Automobile Demand in China: Implications for Oil Markets and GHG Emissions
Ronald Soligo
James Coan
Kenneth B Medlock III
Rice University
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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CONCURRENT SESSIONS 36-40
WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 12, 10:30 - 12:00n

36. Factors Affecting Oil and Gas Prices (Presidential Ballroom)

Troy N Thompson, Presiding
Market Intelligence Manager
Chevron

The Interplay of Fundamentals and Financials in NYMEX Crude Oil Price Determination
William H Brown III
President, WHB Energy Research LLC
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Forecasting Crude Oil Price (revisited)
Imad Haidar
Queensland University of Technology
Rodney C. Wolff
The University of Queensland
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Crude Oil Prices and Exchange Rate: A New Perspective
Emmanuel Hache
IFP School
Henri Audige
Banque de France
Axel Pierru
IFP Energies Nouvelles
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

The Weak Tie Between Natural Gas and Oil Prices
David J Ramberg
MIT Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research (CEEPR)
John E Parsons
MIT Sloan School of Management, MIT CEEPR, MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

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37. Effects of Government Policy on Financing Energy Projects (Federal AB Room)

Frederick L Joutz, Presiding
Professor of Economics
George Washington University

Intermittent Energy Resources for Electricity Markets
Federico S Fische
Alternative Sustainable Energy
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Understanding Residential Energy Efficiency Investments
Will Gans
AREC
View Abstract

Energy Efficiency Policy: Surveying the Puzzles
Timothy J Brennan
Senior Fellow, Resources for the Future
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

A Comparative Case-Study Analysis of the Effectiveness and Efficiency of Policies that Influence the Financing of Renewable Energy Projects: U.S. and Europe
Uday Varadarajan
Brendan Pierpont
David Nelson
Morgan Hervé-Mignucci
Climate Policy Initiative
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

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38. Energy Efficiency Initiatives and Demand Response (South American A Room)

Lori Smith Schell, Presiding
President
Empowered Energy

Value of Demand Response for Wind Integration in Daily Power Generation Scheduling: Unit Commitment Modelling with Price Responsive Load
Cedric De Jonghe
Ronnie Belmans
K.U.Leuven Energy Institute/Electa Branch
Benjamin F Hobbs
The Johns Hopkins University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

Auctions and Efficiency in Electricity Markets
Pablo Serra
Professor, Universidad de Chile
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Modeling the Broader Deployment of Demand Side Management onto the Australian National Electricity Markets
Liam D Wagner
John Foster
Craig Froome
The University of Queensland
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Optimal Compensation for Economic Demand Response in Wholesale Power Markets
Robert L Borlick
Energy Consultant, Borlick Associates
View Extended Abstract

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39. Renewable Energy Economics & Policy (South American B Room)

Sanya Carley, Presiding
Assistant Professor
Indiana University

Assessing the Strength and Effectiveness of Renewable Electricity Feed-In Tariffs
Steffen Jenner
Harvard University
Felix Groba
German Institute for Economic Research
Joe Indvik
ICF International
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Electricity Transmission Congestion and Dispatch of Renewable Power
Claudia M Hitaj
University of Maryland
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Economic Benefit of Virtual Balancing Area Consolidation
Todd M Ryan
Paulina Jaramillo
Carnegie Mellon
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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40. Environment Implications of Exploration and Production Offshore (California Room)

Jeffrey Hopkins, Presiding
Principal Adviser, Energy and Climate Policy
Rio Tinto

Economic Uncertainty in Subsurface CO2 Storage: Geological Injection Limits and Consequences for Carbon Managment Costs
Peter H Kobos
Karen A Gutierrez
Jesse D Roach
Sean A McKenna
Geoff T Klise
Jason E Heath
David J Borns
Thomas A Dewers
Sandia National Laboratories
Andrea McNemar
National Energy Technology Laboratory
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

The Relevance of CCS as a Climate Policy Instrument in Vietnam
Nhan T Nguyen
EHESS/CIRED
Minh Ha-Duong
CIRED/CNRS
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Evaluating Long-term U.S. Energy Market Risks and Opportunities of Carbon Capture and Sequestration Options with an Advanced Systems Analysis Methodology
Vatsal Bhatt
Diptiranjan Mahapatra
Brookhaven National Laboratory
View Abstract

Inspector vs. Inspectors: Evidence from Inspections of Oil and Gas Facilities in the Gulf of Mexico
Lucija Muehlenbachs
Resources for the Future
Mark Cohen
Resources for the Future and Vanderbilt University
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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