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30th USAEE North American Conference
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CONCURRENT SESSIONS

Concurrent Sessions: 1-9 | 10-18 | 19-27 | 28-36 | 37-45

CONCURRENT SESSIONS 1-9
Monday, November 5, 11:00 - 12:30pm

1. Electricity - Resource Adequacy Issues (Capitol Ballroom A-C)

Mina Dioun, Presiding
President
Dioun Energy Consulting

Can Electricity Restructuring Survive Without Capacity Markets? Lessons from the ERCOT Experience
Andrew N Kleit
Penn State University
Robert Michaels
Cal State-Fullerton
View Abstract

Electric Sector Capacity Planning under Uncertainty: Shale Gas and Climate Policy in the U.S.
John E Bistline
Stanford University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

Power Outages and the Costs of Unsupplied Electricity: Evidence from Backup Generation Among Firms in Africa
Musiliu O. Oseni
University of Cambridge
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

The Welfare Impact of State Electricity Capacity Subsidies in PJM
R.J. Briggs
Andrew N Kleit
Penn State University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

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2. Energy Environment - Policy Instruments (Capitol Ballroom D)

Maureen Lorenzetti, Presiding
Senior Communications Officer
International Finance Corporation

Induced R&D in Automobiles
Thummim Cho
Korea Military Academy and Harvard University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Carbon Taxes and Financial Incentives for GHG Emissions Reduction in Alberta's Oil Sands
Andre Plourde
Dean, Faculty of Public Affairs, Carleton University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Permit Markets and Investment in Pollution Abatement
Gizem Keskin
Rice University
View Extended Abstract

Regional Economic Impacts of a Potential Energy Cap Policy in China
Da Zhang
MIT
Sebastian Rausch
ETH CEPE
Valerie J. Karplus
MIT Joint Program
Xiliang Zhang
Tsinghua University
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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3. Dennis J. O'Brien USAEE/IAEE Best Student Paper Award Competition (Capitol View Terrace North)

Kenneth B. Medlock, III, Presiding
Fellow in Energy & Res Economics
Rice University

Energy Price Transmissions During Extreme Movements
Marc Joëts
EconomiX-CNRS
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Evaluating Policies to Attain the Optimal Exposure to Nuclear Risk
Darko Jus
University of Munich
Jakob Eberl
Center for Economic Studies, University of Munich
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Do Automotive Fuel Economy Standards Increase Rates of Technology Change?
Donald MacKenzie
PhD Candidate, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Liquidity Constraints and High Electricity Use Among Low-Income Households
Philipp-Bastian Brutscher
Student, University of Cambridge
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

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4. Oil Prices and the Economy (Capitol View Terrace South)

Robert Borgstrom, Presiding
Advisor on Regulation

The Shifting Sands under Saudi Oil Prowess
Mamdouh G. Salameh
World Bank, Washington DC / Oil Market Consultancy Service, UK
View Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Are the Macroeconomic Effects Greater from an Oil Price Shock or a Global Demand for Oil Shock?
Vance Ginn
Economics Lecturer, Sam Houston State University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

An Evaluation of the Economic Impacts of Decomposition-Based Oil Shocks
Gbadebo A Oladosu
Oak Ridge National Laboratory
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Macroeconomic Impact of Oil Price Shocks on Oil Rich Economies: Evidence from Nigeria Using a Structural VAR Approach
Osaretin P Evbuomwan
Fred O Iklaga
Central Bank of Nigeria
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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5. Electricity - Emerging Technologies & Regulations (George Bonnell Room)

Ingmar Sterzing, Presiding
Director, Commercial Operations
Westinghouse

Key Drivers and Economic Impact of Non-Technical Losses in Distribution Power Systems: Experiences in Latin America
Alberto Elizalde
Inter-American Development Bank
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Driving Smart Growth: Electric Vehicle Adoption and Off-Peak Electricity Rates
Peter E Gunther
Fred V Carstensen
Marcello Graziano
Connecticut Center for Economic Analysis
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Budgetary Interests and the Degree of Unbundling in Electricity Markets – An Empirical Analysis for OECD Countries
Henrik Lindemann
University of Hannover
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Regulatory Developments and Impacts Involving Electricity Storage in Texas
Elizabeth H Drews
Partner, Brown McCarroll, LLP
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

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6. Energy Modeling - Intensity & Efficiency (Creekside I)

Shree Vikas, Presiding
Director, Market Intelligence & Strategy
ConocoPhillips

An Examination of Energy Intensity in the U.S. Manufacturing Sector
Gavin Pickenpaugh
Peter C Balash
National Energy Technology Laboratory
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

U.S. Commercial Buildings Energy Consumption and Intensity Trends: A Decomposition Approach
Behjat Hojjati
Steven H. Wade
U.S. Energy Information Administration
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Explaining the Contract Terms of Energy Performance Contracting in China
Yueming L Qiu
Arizona State University
Yan Li
Renmin University
Yi D Wang
University of International Business and Economics
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

The Potential for Continued Growth in Demand Response and Energy Efficiency Participation in Northeastern Capacity Markets
Matthew W Tanner
Brett Cullen
Timothy McClive
John Higgins
Navigant Consulting Inc.
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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7. U.S.-Mexico Transboundary Hydrocarbon Agreeement (Creekside II)

George Baker, Presiding
Publisher
Mexico Energy Intelligence

The U.S.-Mexico Transboundary Hydrocarbon Agreement: Pending Issues
George Baker
Publisher, Mexico Energy Intelligence
View Abstract

The Transformative Impact of the Transboundary Hydrocarbon Agreement on E&P Production in the GOM
Lourdes M Melgar
EGADE Business School
View Abstract

The U.S.-Mexico Transboundary Hydrocarbon Agreement: View of the Mexican Regulator
Juan Carlos Zepeda
President, National Hydrocarbons Commission
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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8. GHG Emissions Policy (Tannehill Room)

Travis Fisher, Presiding
Economist
Federal Energy Regulatory Commission

Implications of Low Natural Gas Prices for Life Cycle Greenhouse Gas Emissions in the U.S. Electricity Sector
Aranya Venkatesh
Paulina Jaramillo
W. Michael Griffin
H. Scott Matthews
Carnegie Mellon University
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Marginal Emissions Factors for the U.S. Electricity System
Kyle Siler-Evans
M. Granger Morgan
Ines L Azevedo
Carnegie Mellon University
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Expansion of the European Power System under Different Climate Gas Emissions Mitigation Scenarios
Christian Skar
Asgeir Tomasgard
Gerard Doorman
Norwegian University of Science and Technology
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Climate Change and Adaptation to Climate Mitigation Policy in Remote Rural Regions
Matthew Berman
Institute of Social and Economic Research
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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9. Natural Gas - Shale (Barton Room)

Surya Rajan, Presiding
Director
IHS Energy

Shale Gas and Manufacturing Competitiveness
T K Swift
Martha G Moore
American Chemistry Council
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Shale Gas Well Completion & Production Practices: Conservation, Environmental & Regulatory Implications
Janie M Chermak
University of New Mexico
James W Crafton
Performance Sciences, Inc
Robert H Patrick
Rutgers University
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

The Federal Role in Hydraulic Fracturing Technology Success
Christopher Clavin
Susannah Howieson
Institute for Defense Analyses
View Extended Abstract

Role Of Shale Gas Under a Clean Energy Standard
Sugandha Tuladhar
Scott Bloomberg
Shirley Xiong
NERA Economic Consulting
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

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CONCURRENT SESSIONS 10-18
Monday, November 5, 4:30 - 6:00pm

10. Nuclear (George Bonnell Room)

Karen Palmer, Presiding
Research Director and Senior Fellow
Resources for the Future

Uncertanties in the Uranium and Enrichment Markets: a Stochastic Approach
Erich A Schneider
Urairisa Phathanapirom
The University of Texas at Austin
Eric Segal
Roderick Eggert
Colorado School of Mines
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Consequences of the Loss of Nuclear Power Generation in the U.S.
Vanessa N. Vargas
Braeton J. Smith
Peter H. Kobos
Sandia National Laboratories
View Extended Abstract

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11. Energy Modeling - Rebound & Feedback (Capitol Ballroom D)

Lori Schell, Presiding
President
Empowered Energy

Modeling Distributed Generation Adoption using Electric Rate Feedback Loops
Mark P Chew
Dié (Sarah) Jin
Colin Kerrigan
Liang Huang
Marc Kolb
Susan Buller
Matthew Heling
Pacific Gas & Electric Company
Abigail Tinker
UC Berkeley
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Measurement of Post-Fukushima Climate Change Mitigation Options for Japan, China and Korea by Using Glocal Century Energy Environment Planning (G-CEEP) Model
Xuanming Su
Faming Sun
Masato Yamazaki
Ritsumeikan Global Innovation Research Organization
Weisheng Zhou
College of Policy Science, Ritsumeikan University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Importance of Operational Constraints In Evaluating the Economics of Electric Power Generation Systems
Allison Weis
David Luke Oates
Paulina Jaramillo
Jeremy Michalek
Carnegie Mellon University
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

The Impacts of the Rebound Effect on U.S. CAFE Standards for Light-Duty Vehicles
Eric G O'Rear
Kemal Sarica
Phillip L Paarlberg
Wallace E Tyner
Purdue University - Department of Agricultural Economics
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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12. USAEE Case Competition - Topic: Pennsylvania Natural Gas Prices, Pipelines, and CNG Vehicles (Capitol View Terrace North)

Eric Hittinger, Presiding
Assistant Professor
Rochester Institute of Technology

1st Place - Case Competition
Jeff Kessler
University of California, Davis
Jesse Jenkins
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Benjamin VanGessel
University of Michigan
| View Paper

3rd Place - Case Competition
Burcu Cigerli
Likeleli Seitlheko
Xinya Zhang
Mark Agerton
Rice University
| View Paper

2nd Place - Case Competition
Nathaniel Horner
Parth Vaishnav
Carnegie Mellon University
| View Paper

World Oil Production Trend: How U.S. Shale Oil Production Changes the World Trend
Douglas B Reynolds
Candace Crews
University of Alaska Fairbanks
View Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

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13. Renewables - Solar I (Capitol View Terrace South)

Douglas Arent, Presiding
Executive Director, Joint Inst for Strtg Energy Analysis
National Renewable Energy Laboratory

The Potential Impact of Increased Renewable Energy Penetration Levels on Electricity Bill Savings from Residential Photovoltaic Systems
Naïm R Darghouth
Ryan H Wiser
Galen Barbose
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

The Total Impact of Wind Energy Variability on Fossil Fuel Emission Rates in Texas
Meehan Colin
Carey King
Jared Garrison
Michael Webber
University of Texas at Austin
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Economic Analysis on the Profitability of Wind in Portugal between 1992-2006
Ivonne A Pena
Inês Azevedo
Carnegie Mellon University
View Extended Abstract

The Potential Benefits and Challenges of Large-Scale Solar Deployment: The SunShot Vision
Robert Margolis
Easan Drury
Greg Brinkman
Paul Denholm
National Renewable Energy Lab
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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14. Energy Modeling (Capitol Ballroom A-C)

Mary Lashley Barcella, Presiding
Director of Global Gas
IHS CERA

Optimal Carbon Price for British Columbia – Alberta: Massive Wind Expansion Case Study
Behdad Kiani
Andrew Rowe
Peter Wild
Lawrence Pitt
Tom Pedersen
Amy Sopinka
University of Victoria
View Extended Abstract

Global Projection of Transportation Energy Consumption and Emissions
Gouri Shankar Mishra
Jacob Teter
Sonia Yeh
Geoff Morrison
University of California Davis
G. Page Kyle
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
View Abstract

The Impact of End-Use Efficiency Correlation on Indirect Rebound for Households
Michael Blackhurst
Assistant Professor, The University of Texas at Austin
View Extended Abstract

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15. Petroleum - Energy Markets (Creekside I)

Mark Finley, Presiding
GM Global Energy Markets
BP America Inc

Resource Extraction Contracts Under Threat of Expropriation: Theory and Evidence
Arthur A van Benthem
The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania
Johannes C Stroebel
Chicago Booth
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Energy Commodity Basis, Returns and the Business Cycles
Oleg Kucher
Alex Kurov
West Virginia University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

The Accuracy of Oil Price Forecasts by EIA
Jean-Thomas Bernard
Professor, Universite d'Ottawa
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Regional Analysis of U.S. Unconventional Oil Markets & Infrastructure
Greg A Haas
Manager of Research, Hart Energy LLC
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

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16. Electric Vehicles: Public Acceptance, Infrastructure and Policy? (Creekside II)

Sanya Carley, Presiding
Professor
Indiana University

Intent to Purchase a Plug-in Electric Vehicle: A Survey of Early Impressions in Large American Cites
Sanya R Carley
John D Graham
School of Public and Environmental Affairs, Indiana University
Bradley Lane
Rachel M. Krause
University of Texas at El Paso
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Perception and Reality: An Assessment of Public Knowledge of Plug-in Electric Vehicles
Rachel M Krause
Bradley W Lane
University of Texas at El Paso
John D Graham
Sanya Carley
Indiana University
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

The Electric Vehicle Charging Station Location Problem: A Parking-Based Assignment Method for Seattle
T. Donna Chen
Kara Kockelman
The University of Texas at Austin
Mobashwir Khan
Cambridge Systematics
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

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17. Energy Environmental Regulation (Tannehill Room)

Kevin Forbes, Presiding
Associate Professor
Catholic University of America

The Bootleggers and Baptists of Utility MACT
Travis S Fisher
Economist, Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Information Asymmetries in Home Energy Retrofit Decisions
Louis-Gaëtan Marc Giraudet
Houde Sébastien
Stanford University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Modeling the Impact of Fuel Economy Standards on Global Oil Markets Under Alternative Transport Demand Assumptions
Valerie J Karplus
Sergey Paltsev
Paul N Kishimoto
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Assessing the Effects of EISA Mandates and EPA Regulations on Mercury Emissions from Residential Lighting
Huimin Tan
Inês Azevedo
Carnegie Mellon University
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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18. Transition to a Green Economy (Barton Room)

Matthew Berman, Presiding
Professor of Economics
University of Alaska - Anchorage

The Cost and Benefits of Transition to a Green Economy in the Context of Energy and Climate Change
Jinmi Kim
Center for Energy and Eivronmental Policy, University of Delaware
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Electricity Generation Analysis in an Oil-Exporting Country: Transition to Non-Fossil Fuel Based Power Units in Saudi Arabia
Arash Farnoosh
Frederic Lantz
IFPEN-IFP School
View Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

The Arithmetic of Shale Gas
Paul MacAvoy
Yale University
Joel Ephross
Duane Morris, LLP
Anthony Corridore
Lafarge NA
Robert Ames
Solazyme
Ed Hirs
University of Houston
Richard Tavelli
Winchester Capital
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Energy Sector Innovation, Technology Externalities, and Macroeconomic Growth
Xinya Zhang
Department of Economics, Rice University
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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CONCURRENT SESSIONS 19-27
Tuesday, November 6, 8:30 - 10:00am

19. Restructured Electricity Market Design (Capitol Ballroom A-C)

Lars Bergman, Presiding
President & Professor
Stockholm School of Economics

Active Participation of FACTS Devices in Wholesale Electricity Markets
Mostafa Sahraei-Ardakani
Seth A Blumsack
Pennsylvania State University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Revisiting GenCo’s Residual-Demand-Based Methodologies for Optimal Day-Ahead Bidding in the Context of European PX
Samuel Vázquez
Carlos Batlle
Pablo Rodilla
Institute for Research in Technology, Comillas Pontifical University
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Design of Electricity Markets with Renewable Sources
Luciano l de Castro
Rakesh Vohra
Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University
View Extended Abstract

Case Study: UK Electric Market Reform Application to Texas Power Market
Ingmar E Sterzing
Director, Commercial Operations, Westinghouse
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

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20. Renewables - Solar II (Capitol Ballroom D)

Kim Coffman, Presiding
Economist
U.S. Bureau of Ocean Energy Management

Economic and Environmental Consequences of Widespread Deployment of Solar Photovoltaics
Jevgenijs Steinbuks
Fu Zhao
Gaurav Satija
Purdue University
View Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Optimal Feed-in Tariffs and Subsidies for Residential Photovoltaic Systems
Yoshihiro Yamamoto
Takasaki City University of Economics
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Economics of Individual Decision-Making: Buy vs Lease Differences in the Adoption of Residential Solar
Varun Rai
Ben Sigrin
The University of Texas at Austin
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

An Analysis of Industrial Policy Support for the Indian Solar Photovoltaic Manufacturing Sector
Anshuman Sahoo
Stanford University
Gireesh Shrimali
Monterey Institute of International Studies
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

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21. Energy Modeling - Prices & Cost (Capitol View Terrace North)

Andre Plourde, Presiding
Dean, Faculty of Public Affairs
Carleton University

Energy Cost Modelling of New Technology Adoption for Russian Regional Power and Heat Generation
Alexandra Bratanova
Liam Wagner
Jacqueline Robinson
School of Economics, The University of Queensland
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Estimating Generation Cost Function with Bid Data in the Italian Electricity Market
Carlo Andrea Bollino
Professor, University of Perugia
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Synchronizing Electricity and Natural Gas Markets
Janie M Chermak
University of New Mexico
Robert H Patrick
Rutgers University
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Revisiting “The Long-Run Evolution of Energy Prices”
Fred Joutz
The George Washington University
Mine K Yucel
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
View Abstract

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22. Electricity - Investment R&D & Sustainability (Capitol View Terrace South)

Andrew Coleman, Presiding
Marketing Manager
EPRI

The Impact of the European Regulatory Reforms on Electricity-Related R&D Investments
Denes Kucsera
Stephan Schmitt
Vienna University of Economics and Business
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Techno-Economic Analysis of Balancing Area Consolidation
Todd M Ryan
Gabriela Hug
Paulina Jaramillo
Carnegie Mellon University
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Incentive Regulation for a Generation-Only Entity
Mitchell P Rothman
Managing Consultant, Power Advisory LLC
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Collaborative Advancement of Sustainability in the Electric Power Industry
Todd Maki
Jessica Fox
Electric Power Research Institute
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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23. Modeling Energy Demand & Demand Policy (George Bonnell Room)

Tilak Doshi, Presiding
Chief Economist, ESI
National University of Singapore

Energy Labels Increase Demand for Compact Fluorescent Bulbs: Analyzing Consumer Preferences for Lighting Technologies Using Discrete Choice Analysis
Jihoon Min
Ines Azevedo
Jeremy Michalek
Wandi Bruine de Bruin
Carnegie Mellon University
View Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Energy Price Changes, Cropping Patterns and Energy Use in Agriculture
Lyubov Kurkalova
North Carolina A&T State University
Stephen Randall
City of Greensboro
Silvia Secchi
Southern Illinois University Carbondale
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

The Downward Spiral of Compact Flourescent Lamps in the Pacific Northwest - an Overestimation of the Saturation Point or Natural Fluctuations in the Adoptive Path?
Christine A Jerko
Senior Economist, NEEA
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Consumer Convenience and the Availability of Retail Stations as a Market Barrier for Alternative Fuel Vehicles
Marc W Melaina
National Renewable Energy Laboratory
Kirk Solo
Lexidyne, LLC
Joel Bremson
University of California Davis
View Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

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24. Electricity Sector & the Environment (Creekside I)

Shams Siddiqi, Presiding
President
Crescent Power Inc.

Comparing Renewable Portfolio Standards, Emission Intensity Standards and Pollution Taxes in the Electricity Sector
Deepak Rajagopal
Megan H Accordino
University of California, Los Angeles
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Quantifying the Economic Costs of Electric Sector Environmental Controls
Victor Niemeyer
Geoff Blanford
Francisco de la Chesnaye
David Young
James Merrick
Electric Power Research Institute
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

EPA Electric Sector Policies, Natural Gas Prices, and Electricity Prices
Barclay Gibbs
Ira Shavel
Yingxia Yang
Charles River Associates
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Defining Environmental Kuznets Curve for CO2: The Role of Fuel-Switching in the Power Generation Sector
Braeton J Smith
William K Jaeger
Oregon State University
View Abstract

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25. Petroleum - Energy Policies (Creekside II)

Sophie Meritet, Presiding
Professor
Paris Dauphine University - CGEMP

Petroleum Products Prices Behavior and Demand Trends: An Econometric Analysis
Laetitia C de Maack
IFP Energies Nouvelles
Frédéric T Lantz
IFP-School
View Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Fossil Fuel Taxation in the President’s 2013 Budget
Andre J Barbe
Economics Department, Rice University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

An Empirical Assessment of the Effectiveness of Green Policies
Julian Dieler
Markus Zimmer
ifo Institute for Economic Research
Darko Jus
Center for Economic Studies, University Munich
View Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

2020: Oil and Gas Exports from North America: New Geopolitics
Jean-Pierre M Favennec
Professor, WDCooperation
View Extended Abstract

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26. Energy, Economic Growth & Policy (Tannehill Room)

John Jimison, Presiding
Managing Director
Energy Future Coalition

The Long-run Macroeconomic Impacts of Fuel Subsidies in an Oil-importing Developing Country
Michael Plante
Research Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Fossil Energy Subsidies Reform and the Sustainability of China's Energy System
Li Hong
Wang Di
Peking University
Dong Liang
Nagoya University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

Explaining Differences in Fuel Prices Among Countries
Gal Hochman
Rutgers University
David Zilberman
University of California Berkeley
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

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27. Coal and Unconventional Fossil Fuels (Barton Room)

Jay Zarnikau, Presiding
President
Frontier Associates

Micro-District Coal Heating Case -Study
Douglas B Reynolds
Xiaoqi Han
Jim Collins
University of Alaska Fairbanks
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Should Alberta Upgrade Oil Sands Bitumen? An Integrated Life Cycle Framework to Evaluate Energy Systems Investment Tradeoffs
Nicolas Choquette-Levy
Joule Bergerson
University of Calgary
Heather MacLean
University of Toronto
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

The Cost of Energy - The Environmental Effects of Coal Production in China
Nyakundi M Michieka
Wesley Burnett
Jerald J Fletcher
West Virginia University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

The Political Economy of Monitoring and Enforcement in the Coal Mining Industry
R.J. Briggs
Suman Gautam
Anastasia V. Shcherbakova
Penn State University
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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CONCURRENT SESSIONS 28-36
Tuesday, November 6, 1:45 - 3:30pm

28. Smart Grid: Demand Response & Smart Customers (Capitol Ballroom A-C)

Karl Nalepa, Presiding
President & Managing Director
Resolved Energy Consulting

Resource Adequacy and Reliability Impact of Demand Response in a Smart Grid Environment
Rahmatallah Poudineh
Tooraj Jamasb
Heriot-Watt University
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

The Smart Grid: Supercharging Energy Efficiency and Demand Response in the U.S.
Kevin B Jones
Associate Director and Senior Fellow Energy Technology and Policy, Institute for Energy and the Environment, Vermont Law School
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Electrifying Smart Consumers with Information
Andrew G Campbell
Director of State Policy, Tendril
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Quantify Benefits of Home Energy Management System under Dynamic Electricity Pricing
Jingjie Xiao
Joseph F Pekny
Andrew L Liu
Purdue University
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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29. Renewables - Wind (Capitol Ballroom D)

Peter Nance, Presiding
Managing Director
Black & Veatch

The Effect of Variability-Mitigating Market Rules on the Operation and Deployment of Wind Farms
Eric Hittinger
Rochester Institute of Technology
Jay Whitacre
Jay Apt
Carnegie Mellon University
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Changing Imbalance Penalties Into Competitive Markets
Mark B Lively
Consulting Engineer, Utility Economic Engineers
View Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Controllable Demand for Electricity Systems with High Wind Penetrations
Alberto J Lamadrid
Tim D Mount
Ray D Zimmerman
Daniel Munoz-Alvarez
Cornell University
View Abstract | View Paper

Using Time-Adaptive Probabilistic Forecasts for Grid Management – Challenges and Opportunities
Raik Becker
Christoph Weber
University Duisburg-Essen
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Controlling Ramp Rates of Wind Power Output Using a Storage System and Pattern Matching Forecasting
Duehee Lee
Ross Baldick
Joonhyun Kim
University of Texas at Austin
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

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30. Models of Electricity Capacity, Storage & Technology (Capitol View Terrace North)

Kenneth B. Medlock, III, Presiding
Fellow in Energy & Res Economics
Rice University

Payment Minimization in a Combined Market of Energy and Reserve Considering Uncertain Generation Availability
Taísa de Almeida Felix
Pablo Eduardo Cuervo Franco
Universidade de Brasília
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Economic Potential for Extensions of Pump Storages in Norway
Tobias Frohmajer
Christoph Weber
Stephan Spiecker
University of Duisburg-Essen
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

How Electric Power Emissions and Markets Will Be Transformed By Storage
Roger Lueken
Jay Apt
Carnegie Mellon University
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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31. Strategies for Climate Improvement (Capitol View Terrace South)

Hoesung Lee, Presiding
Professor
Korea University

Possible Climate Strategies for a Romney Presidency
James L. Plummer
Founder, IAEE, QED Research, Inc.
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Energy Implications of Climate Change Adaptation Strategies
Dyner Isaac
Carlos J Franco
Laura Cárdenas
Yris Olaya
Lorena Cadavid
Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Oscar Fernández
CIIEN, EPM
View Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Winners and Losers: Estimating the Regional Variation in Power Plant Turnover Resulting from the Timing of Climate Change Policy
Catherine Izard
H. Scott Matthews
Ines Azevedo
Chris Hendrickson
Carnegie Mellon University
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Exploring the Relationships Between Carbon Disclosure and Performance in FTSE 350 Companies
Sharon X Lin
Cass Business School
Nils Markusson
Edinburgh University
Joanna Kottwitz
Independent Researcher
Chris Ennis
Teesside University
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

The Role of Technology in Reducing Future Oil Sands Industry Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Jennifer McKellar
University of Ontario Institute of Technology
Joule Bergerson
Jessica Chan
University of Calgary
Heather MacLean
Sylvia Sleep
Diana Pacheco
University of Toronto
View Extended Abstract

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32. Electricity - Impact of Environmental & Energy Policy (George Bonnell Room)

Elizabeth Drews, Presiding
Attorney
Brown McCarroll LLP

Impact of Coal Displacement on Unit and System Operations
Stan M Kaplan
Director, U.S. Energy Information Administration
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Private Interests in U.S. Energy Policy Making
Steffen Jenner
University of Tuebingen
Stephan Schindele
Fraunhofer ISE
Lotte Ovaere
Leuven University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Performance Assessment of Power Plants under Environmental Regulation
Mika Goto
Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry
Toshiyuki Sueyoshi
New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

The Effectiveness of Renewable Portfolio Standards in Reducing Carbon Emissions in the U.S. Electricity Sector
Suman Gautam
R J Briggs
Pennsylvania State University
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

An Empirical Test for Inter-State Carbon Dioxide Emissions Leakage from the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative
Andrew Kindle
Daniel Shawhan
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute
Michael Swider
New York Independent System Operator
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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33. Renewables - Bio-fuels (Creekside I)

Nick Szymoniak, Presiding
Project Economist
Alaska Energy Authority

Environmental Impact And Energy Production:Evaluation of Biochar Application on Taiwanese Set-Aside Land
Chih-Chun Kung
Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics
Chi-Chung Chen
National Chung-Hsing University
Bruce A McCarl
Texas A&M University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Supply Risks and Resilience of Biofuels
Hamed Ghoddusi
Jessika Trancik
MIT
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Where Cars Are King: The Economics of Transitioning to Hydrogen Fueling Stations in California
Lori Smith Schell
President, Empowered Energy
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Water Use Implications of Biofuel Scenarios from 2007-2035
Jacob Teter
Sonia Yeh
Gouri Shankar Mishra
Institute of Transportation Studies, University of California, Davis
View Extended Abstract

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34. Energy Environment - Low Carbon Policy (Creekside II)

Parviz Adib, Presiding
Principal
Pionergy Consulting

Exchange Rate Effect on Carbon Credit Price via Energy Markets
Jongmin Yu
Mindy L. Mallory
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

CCS Adoption Under Alternative Market Conditions
Donald A Hanson
David Schmalzer
Argonne National Laboratory
Timothy Fout
National Energy Technology Laboratory
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Optimal Investment Strategy in Low-Carbon Energy R&D with Uncertain Payoff
Emily Fertig
Jay Apt
Carnegie Mellon University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

A CO2 Storage Supply Curve for the United States: Addressing Cost, Scale Up and Geologic Uncertainties
Peter H. Kobos
Jesse D. Roach
Jason E. Heath
Geoffrey T. Klise
Sandia National Laboratories
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

Improved Emission Functions for Generators, and How They Help Resolve a Controversy About the Emission Effects of Wind Power
Andrew Kindle
Daniel Shawhan
Kedaar Raman
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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35. Energy Security (Tannehill Room)

Amy Jaffe, Presiding
Executive Director
UC Davis

Managing Military Energy for Greater Cost Effectiveness
Michael E Canes
Distinguished Fellow, LMI
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Energy Policy in the Gulf Arab States: Shortage and Reform in the World’s Storehouse of Energy
Jim Krane
Cambridge University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

The Strategies of BRIC's National Oil Companies for Energy Security: Joint Ventures Bargaining and Vertical Integration
Draga Claudia Marin
Université Paris-Dauphine
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Persian Gulf Supply Disruptions: An Assessment of American Vulnerability in a Changing Global Market
Kenneth R Vincent
George Washington University
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

International Isolation of Iran and its Effects on Global Energy Security
Nayoon Lee
Ph.D. Candidate, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

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36. Natural Gas Pricing & Market Power (Barton Room)

Ronald Ripple, Presiding
Profesor of Energy Economics
Curtin University of Technology

Pipeline Power
Franz Hubert
Onur Cobanli
Humboldt University, Berlin
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Have Oil and Natural Gas Prices Decoupled?
Mine Yucel
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Stephen P Brown
University of Nevada, Las Vegas
View Abstract

Measuring the Effects of Natural Gas Pipeline Constraints on Regional Pricing and Market Integration
Timothy Fitzgerald
Randal R Rucker
Montana State University
Roger Avalos
California ISO
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Oil and Natural Gas Prices: Together Again?
Prakash Loungani
Akito Matsumoto
International Monetary Fund
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

The Macroeconomic Impact of LNG Exports: Integrating the GPCM Natural Gas Model and the PI+ Regional Model
Frederick R Treyz
Chris R Cook
Scott M Nystrom
Regional Economic Models, Inc.
Robert E Brooks
Leahy Liam
RBAC
View Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

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CONCURRENT SESSIONS 37-45
Wednesday, November 7, 8:30 - 10:00am

37. Renewable Energy in Electricity Generation (Capitol Ballroom A-C)

Varun Rai, Presiding
Assistant Professor
University of Texas at Austin

Solar Project Pricing Index
Jonathan McClelland
M.J. Beck Consulting
Mike Dellagala
DG Energy Partners
View Abstract

Effects of Pumped Hydro Storage on Consumers, Thermal Generators, and CO2 Emissions in the Iberian Electricity Market
Colleen Lueken
Jay Apt
Carnegie Mellon University
Pedro Carvalho
Instituto Superior Tecnico
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Relations Between Wind and Electricity Prices in a Deregulated Market: The Case of Ireland
Laura Malaguzzi Valeri
Valeria Di Cosmo
Economic and Social Research Institute
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Can Existing Multi-purpose Hydroelectric Assets Smooth Utility-scale Wind Variability?
Alisha R Fernandez
Patrick Reed
Seth Blumsack
The Pennsylvania State University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

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38. Electricity Market Analysis (Capitol Ballroom D)

Robert Borgstrom, Presiding
Advisor on Regulation

The Impact of Exchange Rate and Oil Price Returns on Wholesale Electricity Spot Price Returns: An Empirical Study on European Countries
Giorgio Castagneto-Gissey
Richard J Green
Imperial College London
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Do Electricity Prices Reflect Economic Fundamentals?: Evidence from the California ISO
Kevin F Forbes
Ernest M Zameplli
The Catholic University of America
View Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Analyzing Spot Prices in a Context with High Penetration of Variable Energy Resources: The Role of the Pricing Rules
Andrea Veiga
Carlos Batlle
Pablo Rodilla
Institute for Research in Technology
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Shale Gas and Photovoltaics – Game Changers at Regional or Global Scale?
Christoph Weber
Professor, University Duisburg-Essen
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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39. Issues in Oil Supply (Capitol View Terrace North)

John Holding, Presiding
Independent Practitioner

Determinants of Crude Oil Prices Between 1997-2011
Nourah A Alyousef
Associate Professor of Economics, King Saud University
View Extended Abstract

Cointegration in the Market for Crude Oil with Structual Change
Neil A Wilmot
Assistant Professor, University of Minnesota Duluth
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Strategic Decision-Making with Information and Extraction Externalities: A Structural Model of the Multi-Stage Investment Timing Game in Offshore Petroleum Production
C.-Y. Cynthia Lin
Assistant Professor, University of California at Davis
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

An Analysis of the Economic Efficiency of Iraq’s Technical Service Contracts for Oil
Abbas Ghandi
C.-Y. Cynthia Lin
University of California-Davis
View Extended Abstract

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40. Transport Sector & the Environment (Capitol View Terrace South)

Jonathan McClelland, Presiding
Director
MJ Beck Consulting

HOV Stickers and the Consumer Adoption of Hybrids: Evidence from California
Kenneth Gillingham
Yale University
Calanit Kamala
University of California, Berkeley
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Impact of Federal Incentives on Adoption of Hybrid Vehicles
Alan Jenn
Carnegie-Mellon University
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Electrification of the Canadian Road Transportation Sector: A 2050 Outlook with TIMES-Canada
Olivier Bahn
Mathilde Marcy
GERAD, HEC Montréal
Kathleen Vaillancourt
GERAD
Jean-Philippe Waaub
University of Quebec in Montreal
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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41. Renewables - Roles and Standards (George Bonnell Room)

Arnold Baker, Presiding
Principal
ABB Consulting

Energy Subsidies in the U.S.: The Effects on CO2 Emissions in the Electricity Sector
Karen Maguire
Assistant Professor, Oklahoma State University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Japan After Fukushima: The Role of Renewable Energy
Hiroshi Hamasaki
Fujitsu Research Institute
Amit Kanuida
KanORS EMR
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Have State Renewable Portfolio Standards Really Worked?
Gireesh Shrimali
Monterey Institute of International Studies
Felix Groba
DIW Berlin
Gabe Chan
Steffen Jenner
Harvard University
Joe Indvik
ICF International
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

Eolic Energy, Inter-temporal Subsidies, and Time of Use Pricing
Malcolm C. Harris
Friends University
Brigid M. Harris
Energy Aural Reports
View Abstract

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42. Barnett Gas Shale - Case Study and Analysis (Creekside I)

Gurcan Gulen, Presiding
Senior Energy Economist
Center for Energy Economics, University of Texas

Economics of Drilling and Refracturing of Shale Gas Wells: A Case Study of the Barnett Shale Gas Play
Svetlana Ikonnikova
Scott Tinker
John Browning
University of Texas at Austin
Kenneth Medlock
Rice University
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Predicting Overall Supply from Shale Plays: A Case Study of the Barnett Play
Gurcan Gulen
University of Texas at Austin
View Abstract

Panel Data Analysis of Barnett Shale Production
Kenneth Medlock
Likeleli Seitlheko
Rice University
John Browning
Gurcan Gulen
Svetlana Ikonnikova
University of Texas, Austin
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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43. Electricity Market Modeling (Creekside II)

Kenan Ögelman, Presiding
Director, Energy Market Policy
CPS Energy

Using Virtual Bids to Manipulate the Value of Financial Transmission Rights
Shaun D Ledgerwood
Johannes P Pfeifenberger
The Brattle Group
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

The Effects of Very Fast Response to Frequency Fluctuation
Mansoureh Peydayesh
Ross Baldick
The University of Texas at Austin
View Extended Abstract | View Paper | View Conference Presentation

An Advanced, Open-Source Model for Predicting The Effects of Power-Sector Policies, Investments, and Input Prices
Daniel Shawhan
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute
Di Shi
Daniel Tylavsky
Arizona State University
William Schulze
John Taber
Jubo Yan
Douglas Mitarotonda
Charles Marquet
Ray Zimmerman
Cornell University
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

A Meta Analysis of Residential, Industrial, and Commercial Electricity Demand
Jason Jorgensen
Fred Joutz
George Washington University
Carol Dahl
Colorado School of Mines
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

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44. Integrated Modeling of Climate Policy (Tannehill Room)

Neil McAndrews, Presiding
Principal
Neil McAndrews and Associates

Modeling U.S. Climate Policy And Equivalent Carbon Tax: A Hybrid Approach
Kemal Sarica
Wallace E. Tyner
Purdue University
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Modeling Energy Security And Climate Change Concerns With MARKAL
Chris Nichols
Analyst, US DOE/NETL
View Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Future of the Canadian Oil Sector: Insights from a Hybrid Model Approach Based on TIMES-Canada
Camille Fertel
Jean-Philippe Waaub
GERAD / UQAM
Olivier Bahn
Kathleen Vaillancourt
Yuri Alcocer
GERAD / HEC Montreal
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

An Evaluation of Electrification Technology Using an Integrated Assessment Model Including End-use Technology
Hiromi Yamamoto
Junichi Tsutsui
Masahiro Sugiyama
Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry
View Extended Abstract

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45. Energy Investment (Barton Room)

Roger Marks, Presiding
Roger Marks & Associates

Brazil's Quest to Also Foster Wind Energy in the Deregulated Market: Will it Work?
Marta C Dalbem
Unigranrio/Brazil
Leonardo L Gomes
Luiz ET Brandão
PUC-Rio / Brazil
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

Electricity Futures Prices in an Emissions Constrained Economy: Evidence from the Nordic Market
George Daskalakis
Raphael N Markellos
University of East Anglia
Lazaros Symeonidis
University of Reading
View Extended Abstract | View Conference Presentation

Industrial Firms’ Choices of Energy Efficiency Investments: A Mixed Multinomial- Poisson Approach
Yueming L Qiu
Arizona State University
Matthew Harding
Stanford University
View Extended Abstract | View Paper

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